A through-the-cycle process requires assessment of the borrower’s risk ness based on a worst-case scenario, i.e. the bottom of an economic/business cycle. In this case, a borrower rating would tend to stay the same over the course of an economic cycle unless the borrower experiences a major unexpected shock to its perceived long-term condition or the original “worst” case scenario used to rate the borrower proves to have been too optimistic.
B3.2
Similar to point-in-time ratings, through-the-cycle ratings also change from year to year to reflect changes in borrowers’ circumstances. However, year-to-year transitions in through-the-cycle ratings will be less influenced by changes in the actual economic environment as this approach abstracts from the immediate economic circumstances and considers the implications of hypothetical stressed circumstances.
Book traversal links for B3 Through-the-Cycle Rating System